NFL DFS Week 15 Perfect Guide to the Million Dollar Range
Living in the everyday gaming world for any sport is hard work with little reward for the casual gamer, unless the stars line up for a magical day. Most everyday owners have to decide if they should be a grinder or a swing player for fences. One path keeps you alive for longer days of action with the idea of ââslowly building your bankroll. The other feels like a gift while offering a pot of gold at the end of a distant rainbow.
Ever since the daily sites started offering the overall million dollar prize, I have tried to find my card without getting out of jail. The aim is to handicap the main roster in Sunday football and invest in the best possible combination of grassroots players. If my key players are successful, I will be on the hunt with many teams. Every football season, I expect to be in the mix in four or five weeks.
All players listed are for the main Sunday game roster.
Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills
Allen did his best to lead the Bills to a victory over Tampa last week, leading to 427 yards combined with three touchdowns. However, he came out of the game with a foot injury that could hamper his run and precision this week. In the last seven games, his biggest downfall has been his poor production of yards per passing attempt in five games (5.9, 5.6, 6.0, 4.8, 5.7). Allen ranks second for quarterback (27.33 FPPG). He scored over 30 fantastic points in six games (40.80, 39.65, 33.25, 31.95, 31.30, 39.30).
The Panthers have the third best defense against the quarterback (17.92 FPPG), with eight opponents scoring under 20 fantastic points. Carolina allows 6.7 yards per passing attempt while failing in a game (MIN – 373/3). Quarterbacks average just 29.5 pass attempts, and a favorable schedule has contributed to the Panthers’ success against the pass (NYJ, NO, HOU, PHI, NYG, ATL (twice), WAS, MIA ).
The Bills need a win in the worst possible way, and Allen looks set to shine this week. the IF Sports betting lists Buffalo as an 11-point favorite with an over / under 44.5, indicating more runs. Additionally, Gabriel Davis gets a bump opportunity with Emmanuel Sanders on the set with a knee injury. Allen is expected to gain 299 yards with 3.5 TDs.
Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals
Since returning from an ankle injury, Murray has looked sharper in the running game (10/59/2 and 7/61) compared to his previous five starts (32/77 – 2.4 yards per carry ). Last week, he threw the ball better (383 yards), but Murray failed to deliver a touchdown with two interceptions. In his 10 games, he’s averaged a whopping 27.21 points in four-point touchdown leagues. The Cardinals will be without DeAndre Hopkins, which will give Christian Kirk an extra chance.
The Lions are 10th in quarterback defense (20.74 FPPG), with the most difficulty in three games (GB – 255/4, CIN – 295/3, LAR – 332/3). Detroit is allowing 8.2 yards per passing attempt while showing risk in defending wide receivers (151/2 123/10 – 14.10 yards per catch). However, the Lions have passed the quarterfinals in defense due to a low number of attempted passes (31.2 per game) and running backs scoring 23 touchdowns.
James Conner’s status is decisive in assessing Murray’s ceiling against Detroit. Arizona has a chance to shine on the deep passing game, and the running scores could move up to the quarterback position if Conner can’t adjust. I set his bar at 314 yards combined with 2.5 TDs.
Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams
In my Week 15 DFS report, I wrote down Stafford’s outlook on his clashes against Seattle. The Covid-19 status for Odell Beckham Jr. and Darrell Henderson remains without an update on Thursday. Ideally, the passing game for the Rams would be downgraded slightly if Beckham didn’t play.
Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys
Over the past six weeks, Prescott has had some ups and downs in his passing production (232/2, 317/2, 216/0, 375/2, 238/1, 211/1). His season started with three or more touchdowns in five of the Cowboys’ first six games. Dallas is playing its fourth road game in the past five weeks. Prescott has 17 touchdowns and two home interceptions in six games, compared to eight touchdowns and eight interceptions in the same number of road games. In Week 5, he had 302 yards and three scores against the Giants.
New York has a disaster game (NO – 263/3) against quarterbacks. Three teams (WAS – 336/2, DAL – 324/3 and VG – 318/2) passed over 300 yards. The Giants hold quarterbacks at 6.8 yards per passing attempt, leading to the 20e-classed defensive quarterback (21.50 FPPG).
Dallas should have Tony Pollard back this week, and they have three talented broads. However, the Cowboys need the Giants to play better offensively to create a higher scoring environment for their passing attempts. IF Sports betting a Dallas favored 10.5 points, creating more points.
Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers
The Packers’ passing offense has increased in their last four games (331 yards per game). Rodgers has scored 11 touchdowns in his last three starts, pushing him to seventh in quarterback scoring (291.55 fantastic points) despite a missed game. He remains on track to deliver 40 touchdowns.
Baltimore occupies the 23rd quarterback in defense (21.68 FPPG). They lost CB Marlon Humphrey in Week 13, but the Browns (190/2) did not test their high school on many games in this latest clash. Three teams (LV – 435/2, IND – 402/2, CIN – 416/3) gained over 400 yards passing. The Ravens are allowing 15.1 yards to wide receivers, with five teams (14/243/1, 15/206/1, 19/302/1, 12/232, 11/234/2) gaining over 200 yards.
Rodgers has one of the best spreaders in the game, but he needs Lamar Jackson to play and successfully push the problem to the scoreboard. Baltimore hasn’t allowed a rushed touchdown in its last four encounters, indicating an active day for the Packers.
Tua Tagovailoa, Miami’s dolphins
With Jaylen Waddle landing on the Covid-19 roster on Thursday, the Dolphins appear to lose their best receiver on Sunday. Tagovailoa appeared to be a quarterback in Daily Game Search on Wednesday.
The running back position in week 15 is full of question marks due to injuries and Covid-19. Information on many players could change in no time depending on the time of the game on Sunday.
RB James Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars
My first running back for my perfect formation this week will be Robinson. It’s been a tough race lately, but a head coach change in Jacksonville should breathe some fresh air into the Jaguars offense. Robinson was highlighted in my DFS report earlier this week.
Ideally, my second choice as a running back would come from the Cardinals backfield if James Conner can’t adjust. Sony Michel will also be at stake if Darrell Henderson does not recover from his Covid-19 problem. Myles Gaskin is a third running back of interest, based on the Jets having the worst ground defense in the league. He must be removed from the Covid-19 list to play on Sunday.
RB Najee Harris, Pittsburgh Steelers
Harris draws the second best defense against running backs (19.38 FPPG), but he can overcome his clash by the volume of touches. In his seven home games, Harris has gained 710 yards with four touchdowns and 39 catches (20.57 FPPG) on 179 touches (25.6 per game). However, Harris only gained 3.7 yards per carry, with just three of his 237 carries gaining over 20 yards.
The running backs scored nine touchdowns against the Titans while limiting infractions to less than 100 rushing yards in 11 games. The full-backs also have 59 catches for 483 yards and one scoring.
For Harris to be an RB1 leader in daily space, he needs to score two touchdowns with over 100 yards and some value in catches. I threw him 106 yards with one score and five catches.
WR Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers
The Rodgers-Adams connection has been in great shape the past three games (7/115/2, 8/104, 10/121/2), bringing him to third in wide receivers scores (252.40 fantastic points ). He also has three other games (8/121, 12/132/1, 11/206/1) with over 100 receiving yards. Adams has the same number of catches (45) at home and away, but his receiving yardage advantage (640 – 564) has come on the road.
Baltimore will attack the quarterback (26 sacks) with the blitz, but his secondary poses a risk against wide receivers (146/2 210/12 – 15.1 yards per catch). In the last seven games, five wideouts (Ja’Marr Chase – 8/201/1, Marquise Goodwin – 4/104/1, Darnell Mooney – 5/121/1, Jarvis Landry – 6/111, Diontae Johnson – 8 / 105/2) gained over 100 yards.
If the Packers need to pitch, Adams should have no problem beating this pass defense. Baltimore wants to throw the ball to slow the clock, and neither Lamar Jackson invites a boring offensive day from the Ravens. Adams plans to catch seven passes for 113 yards and a touchdown.
WR Deebo Samuel, San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers have struggled to get Samuel’s ball in the passing game in their last three clashes (1/15, 1/12, 1/22). However, he maintained his fantastic value by being active in the running game (5/36/1, 8/79/1, 6/66/2, 8/37/1) in his previous four games. When he was at his best as a receiver, Samuel recorded three impact games (32.90, 35.70, 30.30 fantastic points). In Week 4, he dusted off the Seahawks for eight catches for 156 yards and two scores.
Seattle made its way to eighth place on wide receivers in defense (175 / 2.079 / 7), but most of their struggles came in Weeks 2-5 (12/199, 17/194/2 , 14/220/2, 21/326). Plus, they’ve only allowed one touchdown to a rushed receiver in the past nine games.
I love the combination of Samuel’s running and receiving abilities. He appears to be on a 127-yard path with a chance to score two goals and five catches.
WR Gabriel Davis, Buffalo Bills
Last week Davis had eight targets, a season-high, leading to five catches for 43 yards and one touchdown. He has a score in consecutive contests. Buffalo offered him WR2 snaps in Week 14 after the Bills lost Emmanuel Sanders to a knee injury. In his first 29 games in the NFL, Davis had 59 catches for 984 yards and 11 touchdowns while gaining 16.7 yards per catch. Josh Allen looks for him on the goal line while providing significant playing ability.
Here is my perfect lineup for week 15:
I’m assuming James Conner doesn’t play on Sundays. If Chase Edmonds is not on, I would happily ride Eno Benjamin. This move would create enough room to field a $ 5,100 player at flex.
My other option if Conner is playing would be to start Myles Gaskin (if he is playing) at RB2. This change pushes me lower to the flex position ($ 3,900) with minimal exits. The easy way out would be to abandon Bills’ defense to open some pay cap relief.
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